Wednesday 14 March 2012

Current Fractal System

Indicators:

  1. Daily Pivots
    - I keep the Daily Pivots indicator as a possible Support/Resistance point (I do not put too much
       emphasis on this indicator; more of a basic gauge of the market).
  2. Fractal Dimension Channels (0.5, 1.0, and 2.0 Dimensions)  - the green dashed line is the 2nd Dimension Fractal Channel, and is used as a possible stoploss point
        if I think that the 1st Dimension Fractal Channel is too close to the price; also used as a Major
        Fractal Breakout.
     - the purple dashed line is the 1st Dimension Fractal Channel, and I use this for stoploss points
     - the solid purple line is a very tight Fractal Dimension Channel I made using the same programming
        structure of the 1.0 and 2.0 Fractal Dimension Channel indicators (since it was tighter than the 1.0
        Fractal Dimension Channel I simply called it 0.5); I use this as my entry points.
  3. Fractal Histogram - in order to see the entry points more clearer I made this histogram to reflect the price breaking out
       of the 0.5 Fractal Dimension Channel; the blue lines represent the price breaking out above the 0.5
       Fractal Channel, and the red lines represent the price breaking out below the 0.5 Fractal Channel.
  4. CCI Histogram
     
    - this is used as a confirmation for my entry points; the colour of this indicator has to match the colour
        of the Fractal Histogram; if it does not do not enter a trade.

Monday 12 March 2012

Possible Idea: Daily Range & Momentum Oscillators

I was visiting a Forex Factory tread that mentioned a system based on CCI. The guy who made this thread goes by the name Forexcube, and he put in there a lot of information on CCI and damn near every system based off of this indicator. His system is called the TASAYC (Trade As Simple As You Can) System, and it's really just CCI (14), EMA (200), two Bollenger Bands (both 20, with deviations 2 and 3) and Daily Pivots.

From his record of trades he keeps on the first post, he seems to have made a very profitable system using these basic indicators. I try it out for a day, and found very little that I didn't already know. But he did do something with CCI that I thought was kind of bold. Usually I would trade using CCI's Zero Level, but for Forexcube he would trade using the 100, -100, 200, and -200 levels as entry and exit points. I wasn't quite sure how he could pull that off (I've tried those levels with little or no success in the past), but I now I think I have an idea as to how to trade from those levels.

The Daily Pivot indicator used in his system has a range calculator with it (the range is the difference between the high of the day and the low of the day) that displays today's range, yesterdays range, and an average range spanning 30 days. I found that if today's range is relatively the same as yesterdays and/or the 30 day average, and the CCI is coming up/down from either a 100 or 200 level, then it would likely continue. Even better if the price is at a support/resistance level when this pattern occurs.


Example:

Here's the TASAYC thread I got this idea from:  http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=325369

Wednesday 7 March 2012

Elliott Wave Principle: The Basics

The Elliott Wave Principle according to Frost & Prechter:
  • One complete cycle is made up of 8 waves
  • 5 motive waves (1,2,3,4,5), and 3 corrective waves (A,B,C)
  • Waves 1, 3, and 5 effect the prominent directional price movement (Trend)
  • Waves 2 and 4 are counter waves to the prominent directional price movement
  • Wave 2 never goes beyond the start of wave 1
  • Wave 3 is never the shortest wave
  • Wave 4 never enters the price territory of wave 1